Other economic or financial market indictors not considered in this analysis may produce different results. Data are now available for all 50 states and the District of Columbia showing the effects of pandemic response programs on state personal income. Descriptions of, references to, or links to products or publications within any linked web site does not imply endorsement of that product or publication by Russell Investments. The dashboard definition of "typical range" is +/- 1 standard deviation* away from the mean of all historical month-end values, or 68% of historical values. Itâs hard to navigate every twist and turn of the $90 trillion global economy. Selected by our economics team and updated when new data are released, it will provide insight on the strength or softness of expansions and recessions. 1 Note that this a new typical range methodology. The material available on this site has been produced by independent providers that are not affiliated with Russell Investments. While some of the indicators may be measured daily, we choose to include only the monthly/quarterly numbers, as they are better indicators of the overall economic trend. First used September 2009 Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia in the second quarter of 2020, as real GDP for the nation decreased at an annual rate of 31.4 percent, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical values for the indicator fall in this range. Real state personal income is a state’s current-dollar personal income adjusted by the state’s regional price parity and the national personal consumption expenditures price index. Assets totaled $28.87 trillion and liabilities were $41.92 trillion. The average interest rate on the 10 year Treasury Note issued by the U.S. Government. State personal income increased 34.2 percent at an annual rate in the second quarter of 2020, an acceleration from the 4.1 percent increases in the first quarter. This analysis is not meant to serve as a direct prediction regarding the future performance of any economic or financial market. With each update revisions to the historical data may occur. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative returns. It is measured on a quarterly basis.This indicator value represents the trailing year over year % change as of last month-end. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical Yield Spread ranged between 0.64 and 2.89. New Investment by Foreign Direct Investors: Gross Domestic Product by State, 2nd Quarter 2020, BEA is speeding up the release of its industry and state GDP statistics to, Personal Income by State, 2nd Quarter 2020, Real Personal Income by State and Metropolitan Area, 2018, Personal Consumption Expenditures by State, 2019, 4600 Silver Hill Road • Suitland, MD 20746, Quick Guide: Personal Income and Outlays Releases, coordinate more closely with the quarterly estimates. The dashboard shows the most recent month end values for each indicator. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical 10 Yr. U.S. Treasury Yield ranged between 2.88 and 8.64. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index is the leading measurement of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in top 20 metropolitan regions. For broker-dealers, registered investment advisors, and trust or bank brokerage professionals. Russell Investments Financial Services, LLC, member FINRA, part of Russell Investments. Each indicator reports month-end data with the exception of GDP, which is reported quarterly. Anyone using this material should consult with their own attorney, accountant, financial or tax or consultants on whom they rely for investment advice specific to their own circumstances. The CPI is defined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics as a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical Market Volatility ranged between 12.23 and 27.31. © Russell Investments Group, LLC. The typical ranges are based on historical month-end data. The following link may contain information concerning investments other than those offered by Russell Investments, its affiliates or subsidiaries. The U.S. current account deficit widened by $59.0 billion, or 52.9 percent, to $170.5 billion in the second quarter of 2020, according to statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. An official website of the United States government. Across metropolitan areas, the percent change ranged from 15.6 percent in Midland, TX to -1.1 percent in Sebring-Avon Park, FL. More information about each of these indicators is available by following the “historical details” links on the left side of the dashboard. Personal income increased in every state and the District of Columbia ranging from 15.3 percent in the District of Columbia to 76.3 percent in Massachusetts. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical Economic Expansion ranged between -0.63 and 7.04. You can use the dashboard to show your clients how the current market and economy, based on these indicators, compare to historically typical conditions and to show them which direction the market and economy seem to be moving. The revised first quarter deficit was $111.5 billion. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical Home Prices ranged between -4.46 and 12.86. An orange marker shows the most recent value – the closer the marker is to the blue bar, the closer it is to historically typical conditions. BEA produces some of the most closely watched economic statistics that influence decisions of government officials, business people, and individuals. 1995-2020. Find the latest stock market trends and activity today. Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world. The dashboard is not meant to serve as a direct prediction regarding the future performance of any economic or financial market. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. These revisions may change historic data points and historic ranges for some or all indicators. +/- 1 standard deviation of historical Unemployment ranged between 4.09 and 7.38. Personal income increased 0.9 percent while consumer spending increased 1.4 percent in September, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The information, analyses and opinions set forth herein are intended to serve as general information only and should not be relied upon by any individual or entity as advice or recommendations specific to that individual entity. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (CBOE VIX) measures annualized implied volatility and is considered by many to be the prime barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility. The charts show the relationship between the most recent values and their typical historical range. Diversification and strategic asset allocation do not assure profit or protect against loss in declining markets. The second quarter deficit was 3.5 percent of current dollar gross domestic product, up from 2.1 percent in the first quarter. A blue color band represents the typical range for this indicator. The U.S. current account deficit widened by $59.0 billion, or 52.9 percent, to $170.5 billion in the second quarter of 2020, according to statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. How confident people feel about stability of their incomes affect their economic decisions, such as spending activity, and therefore serves as one of the key indicators for the overall shape of the economy. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand. The services surplus decreased $0.7 billion in August to $16.8 billion. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 33.1 percent in the third quarter of 2020, as efforts continued to reopen businesses and resume activities that were postponed or restricted due to COVID-19. All rights reserved. Unlike leading indicators, lagging indicators shift after the economy changes. To help you talk to your clients, we've identified a few key economic and market indicators to help assess the current economic health and trend. Additionally any revisions to the historical data will be captured with each update. The goods deficit increased $3.0 billion in August to $83.9 billion. The University of Michigan Survey of Consumer Sentiment Index is an economic indicator which measures the degree of optimism that consumers feel about the overall state of the economy and their personal financial situation. The dashboard offers a snapshot of current U.S. economic and market conditions, based on key economic and market indicators. The percent change in real state personal income ranged from 6.7 percent in Wyoming to 0.9 percent in Mississippi. The dashboard contextualizes the current reading of each indicator by comparing them to their typical, historical ranges of month-end values. As of 06/30/2020, trending away from typical. For retirement plan sponsors, consultants and non-profit representatives looking to reduce risk, enhance returns and control costs. Russell Investments or its affiliates make no representations regarding the data that results dependent upon such information and hereby disclaim all warranties related to information and results are dependent hereon, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability or fitness for any particular purpose. At the end of the first quarter, the net investment position was –$12.16 trillion. For individuals guided by an advisor’s personalized advice. The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in August 2020 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. In order to monitor the current health of the economy and its trend, we believe it's important to keep an eye on both the broad economy as well as key indicators in the market. Prior to June 2014 it was shown as 90% of the historical values. It is updated periodically to capture previous month-end or quarter-end values as they become available. Since each data point reports data at a different time, each typical range is calculated independently using data through the end of the previous month. * Standard Deviation is a statistical measure that reflects the degree to which an individual value in distribution tends to vary from the mean of the distribution. Lowest recorded month-end value occured on 12/29/2000, Highest recorded month-end value occured on 08/31/1982. Data displayed in the Economic Indicators Dashboard are reflective of current data as provided by the data sources including any revisions to previous data. The data on this page are drawn from featured BEA economic accounts. Using this measurement allows us to exclude the more extreme values which would not be as probable to see from the indicator. This analysis represents an economic analysis utilizing varying analytical data. This is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security or the services of any organization. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures changes in the price level of a market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. These changes are usually due to seasonal adjustments to previously supplied data.
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